CLEVELAND, Ohio — Security is the title of the game for the Browns, specifically on the offensive side of the ball. Head mentor Kevin Stefanski is back together with offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt for the second straight time. Baker Mayfield is slated to be the team’s opening week starter for the third straight season, a video game which will mark his 46th consecutive start out.
The offensive line is again in its entirety, as is the dynamic backfield duo of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt and each essential offensive participant from a year ago returns, with a handful of additions.
So we know what this offense will glance like in 2021 presently, appropriate? Not so speedy.
Stefanski undoubtedly has his process, but the Browns have weapons to do almost everything they want offensively. The problem, of study course, is keeping every person pleased and fed.
Putting Chubb and Hunt on the industry with each other is exciting, but it implies a receiver or tight close has to come off. Run extra receivers much more normally and just one of your tight ends is heading to eliminate taking part in time. You only get 5 ability gamers on the industry — supporters should really prepare themselves for somebody they like not participating in as normally as they want.
What actually matters is winning and scoring factors and the Browns should really do lots of both equally in 2021.
Their offense may well also appear at minimum a minor distinctive this calendar year. Below are some of the techniques it could transform.
More 11 personnel
According to information from Sharp Football Stats — the web-site we’re employing for all of the knowledge in this submit — the Browns had been in 11 staff, which means a single working back, one particular limited finish and three receivers, on 41 % of their offensive snaps in the normal year previous yr. The league average was 60 per cent and only Minnesota (29 percent) and Tennessee (39 percent) applied it less.
In the 1st three quarters of games, a filter made use of to weed out situations in which a staff is seeking to appear back again or run out the clock, the selection jumped a little to 43 p.c. Minnesota, San Francisco, Minnesota and Tennessee have been the only teams who employed it much less.
One thing interesting took place beginning with 7 days 13 in Tennessee, even so.
The Browns, in the 1st three quarters of game titles from Week 13 through the divisional spherical activity in Kansas Metropolis — excluding the Jets activity, when they shed their top rated receivers because of to COVID-19 call tracing — the Browns utilized 11 staff on 55 % of their offensive snaps. In the 12 weeks prior, it was 44 p.c.
It is nevertheless not a huge amount, but it is a obvious uptick in the direction of the league common.
In their two playoff video games, they used 11 personnel 67 per cent of the time over the 1st a few quarters of their online games, on par with groups like the Bills and Rams who stay in the grouping.
With the weapons they have, it would make sense to use less heavier staff groupings and additional receiver-major groupings. It probable won’t soar to the ranges of the groups who use it the most, but it seems much more possible to land on the bigger facet of 50 p.c and a great deal nearer to league average.
More passing and earlier
If you adore the phrase “establish the operate,” you may want to cease studying.
About the study course of the common period final yr, in the initially 3 quarters of online games, the Browns threw the ball on to start with down 43 percent of the time. Only 4 other groups, San Francisco, New England, Baltimore and Tennessee did it considerably less.
For the duration of the season’s initially 12 weeks, it was 38 p.c. The variety jumped from Week 13 as a result of the finish of the common year to 52 percent, 13th most in the league. They had been at 45 per cent in the postseason.
Substantially like use of 11 staff, the Browns were trending, at least a tiny, in direction of throwing additional on first downs in December when their offense started out clicking.
The other stat we’ll glimpse at is how frequently the Browns handed early in games. For all of 2020, which includes the playoffs, they threw on 56 % of their plays in the initial quarter, 14th most in the league. About the season’s very first 12 months, it was 51 p.c, extra than just seven teams.
Then, in Months 13 through 17, they threw on 64 per cent of their first-quarter plays, fifth-most, powering only Kansas City, Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh and Buffalo. In the playoffs, they threw on 57 p.c of their first-quarter plays.
It would not be surprising at all to see the Browns toss the ball additional earlier in games and on earlier downs, which is the path they were trending at the stop of 2020.
This is wherever you can set a massive circle close to the display recreation. Though the Browns weren’t reliant on the display screen last period, they knocked the Steelers out in the Wild Card on a big one late in the sport and evidently had plans for it in opposition to the Chiefs but ended up unable to execute them.
What to assume
Panic not, followers of the operate video game. Chubb and Hunt will however get their prospects. The Browns can nonetheless impose their will on groups on the ground.
It’s crystal clear, having said that, that as the coaching staff really figured out the finest way to use Baker Mayfield’s skillset, the aerial attack became a lot more of a precedence, some thing unsurprising for these kinds of a facts-driven organization. Passing is merely far more successful.
Although we’ll see lots of the staples of Stefanski’s offense in 2021, it would be unsurprising to see much more receivers and a lot more throwing, primarily early.
Browns playoffs shirts, hats for sale: Here’s in which Cleveland Browns followers can buy shirts and hats celebrating the group qualifying for the 2020 NFL playoffs.
Extra Browns coverage
What will Joe Woods’ defense appear like? 21 Browns questions for ’21
What will Mayfield’s stats search like this drop? Hey, Mary Kay!
Raiders DE, former Browns draft pick Nassib will come out as homosexual
Browns who looked very good at camp, Malik Jackson interview: Podcast
When Mayfield, Ward, Chubb, Teller be extended? 21 Browns concerns for ’21
OBJ, Newsome, Wilson, Harrison experienced excellent offseasons: Insider