Until you are Nostradamus himself, it is quite tough to forecast who will be the greatest very first-spherical draft select bust following just one time. There are several components that go into choosing who is and is not an NFL failure.
Some 1st-spherical draft picks hardly ever make the subject for their groups thanks to damage, while other folks struggle to get to grips with pro-match intricacies and by no means get off the practice squad.
For me, the most important bust has to be 1 of the initially top ten players picked, and in a placement that definitely has an effect on the team’s total results.
So as I put on my magical predictions cap and search at the 2020 NFL first-spherical draft course, a single title stands out to me as having the possible to be the biggest bust.
The selection 5 decide on of the 2020 NFL Draft – Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.
Tua entered the draft as just one of the most polarizing gamers to many NFL insiders. He experienced a stellar school profession, major Alabama to the 2018 National Championship and the 2019 title activity.
However, Tua was severely hurt in late 2019 against Mississippi Condition. He experienced a dislocated and fractured hip, a damaged nose, and a concussion. Thanks to his injuries, he was not able to take part in pre-draft routines.
Even with injuries problems and rumors bordering him, Tua was selected quantity 5 by the Miami Dolphins as their upcoming franchise QB.
2020 Year data
Tua performed in 10 NFL games in his rookie year, commencing 9 of them. He changed veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick in the lineup in week 6 from the New York Jets.
6.3 yard common for each move
11 Touchdowns – 5 Interceptions
QBR – 52.5
36 makes an attempt
Regular 3 yards per have
3 Touchdowns – 1 Fumble
Tagovailoa rated 26th in QBR, 34th in passing yards, and 29th in completion share. The first year numbers are extremely underwhelming from Tua, especially when as opposed with his fellow to start with-round QB draft picks.
Rookie QB comparison
The 2020 NFL Draft showcased four quarterbacks being chosen in the initial round. The Cincinnati Bengals picked Joe Burrow at #1, the Dolphins picked Tua at #5, the LA Chargers picked Justin Herbert at #6, and the Environmentally friendly Packers chose Jordan Like at #26.
Now we can discount Really like quickly as he did not get a snap for the NFC North winner Packers in 2020.
Amount one particular pick Burrow started out 10 game titles in advance of he tore his ACL versus Washington. He experienced an remarkable passing ranking of 89.8, 2,680 passing yards and 13 touchdowns from 5 interceptions. Burrow also experienced 3 rushing touchdowns.
Justin Herbert, the variety 6 decide, started out 15 games for the Chargers and experienced a passing ranking of 98.3. He threw 31 touchdowns towards 10 interceptions and was named the AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Calendar year.
If you look at Tua with the other very first-round draft picks, he is at the base of the pack.
Miami Dolphins Franchise
Yet another purpose I feel that Tua will be the most significant bust from the 2020 draft is the workforce that picked him. The Miami Dolphins have not designed the Superbowl since Dan Marino’s rookie season in 1984.
Over the past ten years, the Dolphins have only had two winning seasons and have failed to acquire a one playoff activity. The franchise has confirmed to be incompetent in developing a effective crew.
When they have pushed all their chips in on Tua by permitting Ryan Fitzpatrick go this time, they did indicator veteran backup QB Jacoby Brissett as an insurance policies coverage.
The absence of star players on offense to support Tua will only increase to the force for him to perform. The fragile offensive line also raises the chance of Tagovailoa finding wounded.
What his teammates are saying about Tua
Miami Herald columnist Armando Salguero spoke to some Dolphins gamers who spoke anonymously about Tua and the organization’s conclusion to name him the starter for 2021. The players expressed doubt about Tagovailoa’s general talent and his means to establish into what the workforce requirements him to be: a leading-tier quarterback.
“… the gamers also say they never see a distinctive trait in Tagovailoa’s talent established beyond his precision.One particular defensive participant said he is not amazed with Tagovailoa’s ball velocity or arm toughness or potential to make off-routine plays with his legs. So he ultimately concerns whether Tagovailoa will at any time be able to match the feats of other quarterbacks in the AFC this sort of as Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes or Deshaun Watson.
“Those are the boys we bought to conquer, proper?” this player mentioned. “It seems ideal now like that is heading to be a massive challenge.”
So it looks that I’m not the only 1 who has uncertainties about Tua’s foreseeable future potential. Now he may possibly go on to have a wonderful NFL career and get the Superbowl. Having said that, at this time he is my select as the major bust of the 2020 NFL Draft.