Home » NFL Rookies » Mac Jones NFL Draft profile: Fantasy Football fits, scouting report, advanced stats, Dynasty outlook, more

Mac Jones NFL Draft profile: Fantasy Football fits, scouting report, advanced stats, Dynasty outlook, more


A native of Jacksonville, Fla., Michael “Mac” Jones was a four-star recruit from 247 Sports Composite, Rivals and ESPN. As a senior at The Bolles School, Jones threw for 1,532 yards and 29 touchdowns, leading the team to the Florida 4A State Championship game in 2016. A well-known prospect on the high-school football camp circuit, including Elite11 in California, Jones had 22 offers from college programs but ultimately chose Alabama, where he knew he’d have to wait behind Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa for a chance to play. Jones redshirted his freshman year, was pretty much on the bench the year after, and replaced Tagovailoa following an injury as a sophomore. He went on to start 18 games, winning 17 of them including an undefeated season in 2020 that resulted in a national championship victory.

Jones is among the top quarterbacks in the 2020 class, but the only one considered a throwback because of his lack of mobility and incredible ability to read and react to defenses. In an era where quarterbacks are valued for their arms and their feet, Jones is a classic pocket passer who “rushed” the ball 51 times over the past two seasons.

Age as of Week 1: 23 (born Sept 5 1998) | Height: 6-2 5/8 | Weight: 217 | 40-yard dash: 4.68 | Hand: 9 3/4

We’re breaking down everything you need to know about Jones from a Fantasy manager perspective, including best fits, Dynasty outlook, measurables, scouting report, key stats and an NFL comparison.

Fantasy fits

Denver Broncos

You’d think any quarterback would thrive in an offense surrounded by the Broncos’ deep receiving corps and improving offensive line, but Drew Lock proved that to be incorrect. So after dealing with Lock’s scattershot passing, the Broncos might welcome Jones and his accurate arm. Coach Vic Fangio and offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur are grizzled old veterans who might be just fine entrusting their West Coast offense to a classic pocket slinger like Jones.

San Francisco 49ers

Plugged-in NFL reporters and analysts believe the 49ers are a prime destination for Jones. Kyle Shanahan’s West Coast offense is usually predicated on the run but designed for the quarterback to make easy throws for the receivers to gain yards after the catch. There’s no doubt Jones could handle it, though Jones’ immobility would hold back Shanahan’s imagination in ways other prospects who will be available at No. 3 overall would not.

New England Patriots

Jones’ processing of defensive coverages and keeping his eyes downfield, among other traits, make him more NFL-ready than other prospects. If the Patriots wanted to revert back to their old offense, Jones would be a good signal-caller to have. Their receiving corps has changed dramatically thanks to a free-agency spending spree and wouldn’t necessarily be a detriment. 

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Dynasty outlook

Jones’ accurate arm, smarts and fearlessness should carry him to a starting job at some point this season. It would take some significant regression for Jones to crater into a backup, but it also would take a dynamic receiving corps and an offense tailored to Jones’ anticipatory arm for him to be a statistical dynamo like he was at Alabama. There’s also the growing demand for Fantasy quarterbacks who run for numbers, something Jones didn’t do much at Alabama. Therefore, he’ll really need to be in a spot where 4,000 passing yards and 28 touchdowns is the floor. That’s hard to count on from a rookie. Expect Jones to slide into the second round (if not the third round) in traditional rookie-only drafts. Demand for quarterbacks in Superflex and 2QB formats will get him snared before the end of Round 1.

Scouting report

Strengths

  • Stocky build in pads.
  • Overall mechanics, from footwork to hip rotation to delivery were very good. Usually delivered throws in a compact, effortless motion.
  • Zero issues about his ability to read and react to defensive coverages. Understood how to play off safeties. Rarely made bad decisions on who to throw to.
  • Also did a good job of not forcing a lot of throws when under duress — took sacks and threw passes out of bounds when he had to.
  • Polished in his maneuvering of the pocket and fearless from throwing when pressure was in his kitchen. Kept eyes downfield consistently and had a good sense for the pass rush, buying time and shifting away from it when necessary and delivering an accurate throw when about to get hit.
  • Wasn’t in a hurry to check down to a short-area target. His check-downs were smart plays, not scared plays.
  • Absolutely a rhythm and anticipatory thrower suitable for any playbook. Threw his receivers open frequently, giving them chances to make catches in bounds and/or make plays after the catch. 
  • Accuracy was usually very good at all levels. Knew when to use touch or when to use good velocity to place the ball where his man would catch it. Deep accuracy was typically good with strikes ranging between 30 and 45 yards through the air.
  • Was willing to dive and burrow in short-yardage situations.
  • Played actor after handing off, faking a throw or a run to try and trick the defense. Very Favre-like.
  • No reported injuries through time at Alabama. Did sustain a minor ankle injury during 2021 Senior Bowl.
  • Humble kid with a willingness to work hard and put his team first.

Concerns

  • Sizable quarterback, but went down rather easily on sacks and rarely kept plays alive after taking on contact. Frankly didn’t take on a whole lot of contact.
  • Frequently lined up in shotgun, rarely under center.
  • Would sometimes pass up short, safe throws for more challenging throws. Might drive his coaches crazy.
  • Happened rarely, but aggressive pass rushes sped up his throwing motion and delivery, resulting in off-target throws and incomplete passes. Would throw off his back foot under pressure sometimes, which impacted velocity and accuracy.
  • Threw 85 screen passes, second-most in the nation (Trevor Lawrence, 87). Had 591 yards on screen passes, second-most in the nation (Lawrence, 686).
  • Stats legitimately might be the byproduct of working in a talented offense. Offensive line was terrific, pass-catchers were outstanding and play-calling was awesome. 
  • Maybe two or three times per game was a little off-target with his throws, forcing his receivers to adjust (wrong shoulder, high pass, underthrown, etc.).
  • Mobility is adequate. He’s not a mover.
  • Generally has high character but was arrested and charged with driving under the influence and carrying a fake ID as a freshman in November 2017 (19 years old). 

Stats breakdown

G Comp% PaYds PaTD INT RuYds RuTD
2020 13 77.4 4500 41 4 14 1
2019 v top 25 2 65.6 662 7 2 32 0
2020 v top 25 6 76.8 2333 27 3 -1 0
Career 30 74.3 6126 56 7 42 2

Advanced stats to know

(all from 2020)*

  • 17-1 as a starter at Alabama.
  • Five games with over 400 passing yards in 2020, a single-season Alabama record.
  • 70 plays of 20-plus yards, second-most among QBs.
  • Had the second-most air yards of any quarterback (3,730).
  • Adjusted completion rate of 84.2%, highest in the nation.
  • Average depth of target of 8.8 yards, tied for 57th.

NFL comparison

Jones makes throws, plain and simple. He won’t wow you with athleticism but will get the ball where it needs to be provided he has solid blocking. The difference between him and someone like Kirk Cousins is that, at least through his college years, Jones doesn’t get flustered by opposing pass rushes. Then again, Cousins has maintained a good adjusted completion percentage when under pressure (73% in 2019, 69.8% in 2020), which is something teams might be counting on with Jones. It’s not a sexy comparison, but Jones has the feel of that kind of reliable quarterback.



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